Online COVID-19 Risk Calculator Shows Your Personalized Infection Risk

A calculator to help people understand their risk factors for COVID-19[female[feminine infection and vaccination was initiated by the Immunization Coalition in collaboration with Australian researchers.

The three co-principal investigators of the tool are Dr Kirsty Short, University of Queensland virologist, CoRiCal instigator of Flinders University Associate Professor John Litt and General Practitioner Dr Andrew Baird.

Dr Kirsty Short said the Immunization Coalition COVID-19 Risk Calculator (CoRiCal) was an online tool to help general practitioners and community members in their discussions about the benefits and risks of COVID-19 vaccines.

“This tool is really designed to help people make an informed decision about vaccination based on their current situation and also see their risk of contracting COVID-19 in different transmission scenarios,” said Dr Short.

“Users can access the tool and enter their age, sex, community transmission and vaccination status to know their personalized risk calculation.

“For example, you can find out your risk of getting infected with COVID-19 versus your risk of dying from the disease.

“You can also find out your chances of developing an atypical blood clot from the AstraZeneca vaccine and see this data in the context of other related risks, such as being struck by lightning or winning the OzLotto.”

The CoRiCal Covid risk calculator is in its pilot phase but will be continuously updated in accordance with the latest health and scientific advice, including risk assessments on Pfizer and Moderna vaccines, pre-existing medical conditions such as obesity and diabetes , and the long COVID.

The CoRiCal project included a team of general practitioners, medical scientists, public health physicians, epidemiologists and statisticians.

Associate Professor John Litt, a member of the Coalition for Immunization’s Scientific Advisory Board, said he hoped CoRiCal would help general practitioners save time and create an accurate assessment of individual risk for COVID-19 or one of the vaccines.

“General practitioners spend a lot of time trying to explain the risks of COVID-19 and different vaccines to their patients,” Dr Litt said.

“A precise, evidence-based, transparent and non-aligned with professional group tool should help general practitioners in their task of making COVID vaccination easier for their patients. “

Melbourne-based GP Dr Andrew Baird said CoRiCal was adaptable to booster doses, new viral strains, new vaccines, younger age groups, international markets and even other diseases. infectious.

“It presents the risk using simple bar charts, so it’s easy to compare the risks for different outcomes related to COVID-19 and vaccines,” Dr Baird said.

“CoRiCal could help Australia move to 90%, 95% or even more of the population aged 16 and over fully immunized.

“The higher the vaccination rate in the population, the better it will be for individuals, communities, mental health, health services and the country. “

Dr Baird said that although CoRiCal was developed for general practitioners and other healthcare professionals, it was important that people could easily access this information online without consultation.

CoRiCal is a collaboration between the Immunization Coalition, UQ, Flinders University, La Trobe University and Queensland University of Technology (QUT).

The risk calculations in CoRiCal are based on a modeling framework developed by Professor Colleen Lau and Dr Helen Mayfield of UQ School of Public Health, and Professor Kerrie Mengersen of QUT.

Access the CoRiCal tool here.


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